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| 国内外乙丙橡胶的市场分析 |
| Market Analysis of Ethylene-propylene Rubber at Home and Abroad |
| Received:March 08, 2020 Revised:March 08, 2020 |
| DOI：10.12137/j.issn.2095-5448.2020.05.0254 |
| 中文关键词: 乙丙橡胶；市场分析；生产；消费；进出口；价格 |
| 英文关键词: ethylene-propylene rubber；market analysis；production；consumption；import and export；price |
| 基金项目: |
| 中图分类号: |
| Author Name | Affiliation | E-mail | | CUI Xiaoming* | Research Institute of Beijing Yanshan Petrochemical Co.，Ltd | cuixm.bjhy@sinopec.com |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 分析国内外乙丙橡胶的生产和消费现状及发展前景。2019年世界乙丙橡胶的生产能力为235.5万t，生产装置主要集中在东北亚地区，美国是世界最大的乙丙橡胶生产国家；2018年世界乙丙橡胶的消费量为168.4万t，消费主要集中在东北亚地区，中国大陆消费量最大，预计2023年世界乙丙橡胶消费量将达到191.0万t。2019年我国乙丙橡胶总生产能力为39.5万t，是世界第二大乙丙橡胶生产国家；2019年我国乙丙橡胶的进口量为34.82万t，同比降低3.94%；2019年的出口量为1.78万t，同比增长14.61%；2019年我国乙丙橡胶的表观消费量为54.54万t，预计2024年消费量将达到65.0万t。2019年我国乙丙橡胶市场价格呈现先跌后涨的发展态势，价格为每吨14 300～18 000元。分析乙丙橡胶的发展趋势，对我国乙丙橡胶的发展方向提出建议。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| The production and consumption situation and development prospect of ethylene-propylene rubber（EPR） at home and abroad were analyzed.The total global production capacity of EPR was 2 355 000 t in 2019.Production facilities were mainly concentrated in northeast Asia.The United States was the largest producer of EPR in the world.The world consumption of EPR in 2018 was 1 684 000 t and it was mainly concentrated in northeast Asia，and the largest consumption in the Chinese mainland.It was expected that the consumption of EPR in the word would reach 1 910 000 t in 2023.China’s total production capacity of EPR was 395 000 t in 2019，and China was the second largest producer in the world.China’s import volume of EPR was 348 200 t in 2019，decreasing by 3.94% year-on-year.The export volume in 2019 was 17 800 t，increasing up by 14.61% year-on-year.China’s apparent consumption of EPR was 545 400 t in 2019，and the consumption was expected to reach 650 000 t in 2024.China’s EPR price showed a trend of decline first and then rise in 2019，with the price range of 14 300～18 000 yuan per ton.This paper pointed out the development trend of EPR and put forward some suggestions on the development direction of EPR in China. |
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