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| 国内外丁基橡胶市场分析 |
| Analysis of Global and Domestic Markets of IIR |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 丁基橡胶；卤化丁基橡胶；市场分析；生产能力；消费；进出口 |
| 英文关键词: butyl rubber；halogenated butyl rubber；market analysis；production capacity；consumption；imports and exports |
| 基金项目: |
| 中图分类号:TQ333.6；F27 |
| Author Name | Affiliation | | CUI Xiaoming | Yanshan Branch，SINOPEC Beijing Research Institute of Chemical Industry，National Engineering Research Center of New Synthetic Rubber and Plastic Materials |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 分析国内外丁基橡胶（IIR）[包括普通IIR和卤化丁基橡胶（HIIR）]的市场现状及发展前景。2015年世界IIR总年生产能力为171.1万t，总消费量为125万t，预计2020年世界IIR总年生产能力将达到250万t，总消费量将达到150万t。2015年我国IIR年生产能力为36万t，表观消费量为36.66万t，预计2020年我国IIR消费量将达到50万～55万t。目前我国IIR产量不能满足需求，进口量较大，但自给率有所提高，预计未来几年我国IIR价格将持续低位运行。我国IIR企业应慎重扩能，积极开发新产品和新工艺，注重IIR的应用推广。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| In this study，the present situation and development prospects of the global and domestic markets of butyl rubber（IIR），including ordinary IIR and halogenated butyl rubber（HIIR），were analyzed. The total annual production capacity of 2015 world IIR was 1.711 million tons and the consumption was 1.25 million tons.It is expected in 2020 total annual production capacity of IIR globally will reach 2.5 million tons and the total consumption will reach 1.5 million tons.In China，2015 annual production capacity of IIR was 0.36 million tons with apparent consumption of 0.366 6 million tons.It is expected in 2020 China’s consumption of IIR will reach 500 000 to 550 000 tons.At present，China IIR production cannot meet the demand and so a large amount is imported.However，the self-sufficiency rate has increased，and in the next few years IIR price in China will continue to drop.Local companies should be careful of capacity expansion，actively develop new products and processes，and focus on the promotion of IIR application. |
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